HomeMLB › Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros — 2026-06-19

8:10 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: Tanner Bibee vs Tatsuya ImaiMLBFINAL
Recap

Houston Astros won 9-3 over Cleveland Guardians on 2026-06-19. Margin of 6 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Cleveland Guardians
52%
Houston Astros
48%
Projected
Guardians 4.5 - 4.4 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Cleveland Guardians 52% / Houston Astros 48%. Projected Cleveland Guardians 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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