Boston Red Sox won 3-2 over San Francisco Giants on 2026-08-22. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 41% / Boston Red Sox 59%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.4 — 4.5 Boston Red Sox.
Our MLB model rates Boston Red Sox as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1482 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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