San Diego Padres beat San Francisco Giants 7-0, a 7-runs margin. We projected San Francisco Giants 4.2-4.7 San Diego Padres and gave San Diego Padres a 71% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 71%. The driver is a 131-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 29% / San Diego Padres 71%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.2 — 4.7 San Diego Padres.
Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 71%. The driver is a 131-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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