New York Mets won 4-2 over San Francisco Giants on 2026-09-06. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -9-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 48% / New York Mets 52%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -9-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -108 at -108. Pre-game: model 56.8% vs market 49.8% implied, a +7.0pp edge.
What happened: Total: 6 (line: under 8).
Bet returned +0.93u on 1u risked.
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