New York Mets won 10-6 over San Francisco Giants on 2026-09-04. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -9-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 48% / New York Mets 52%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates New York Mets as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -9-point Elo gap (1437 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.