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San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins — 2026-06-20

4:10 PM ETloanDepot parkSP: Trevor McDonald vs Max MeyerMLB

Model prediction

San Francisco Giants
40%
Miami Marlins
60%
Projected
Giants 4.4 - 4.5 Marlins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 46-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San Francisco Giants
No recent games on file.
Miami Marlins
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.5% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.4pp edge.

What happened: Total: 9 (line: under 8).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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