Arizona Diamondbacks beat San Francisco Giants 5-4, a 1-run margin. We projected San Francisco Giants 4.3-4.6 Arizona Diamondbacks and gave Arizona Diamondbacks a 67% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 99-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 33% / Arizona Diamondbacks 67%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.3 — 4.6 Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 99-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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