Chicago Cubs beat San Francisco Giants 3-2, a 1-run margin. We projected San Francisco Giants 4.3-4.6 Chicago Cubs and gave Chicago Cubs a 66% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Francisco Giants 34% / Chicago Cubs 66%. Projected San Francisco Giants 4.3 — 4.6 Chicago Cubs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 66%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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