HomeMLB › Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — 2026-06-11

6:40 PM ETPNC ParkSP: Justin Wrobleski vs Mitch KellerMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Dodgers beat Pittsburgh Pirates 8-6, a 2-runs margin. We projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5-4.4 Pittsburgh Pirates and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 51% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Dodgers
51%
Pittsburgh Pirates
49%
Projected
Dodgers 4.5 - 4.4 Pirates

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 34-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.
Pittsburgh Pirates
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 51% / Pittsburgh Pirates 49%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5 — 4.4 Pittsburgh Pirates.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 34-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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