Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 34-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1550) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Pittsburgh Pirates would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 55.9% vs market 49.1% implied, a +6.8pp edge.
What happened: Total: 15 (line: over 8.5).
Bet returned +0.94u on 1u risked.
Pre-game call: Pittsburgh Pirates ML at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 57.3% vs market 50.9% implied, a +6.4pp edge.
What happened: Los Angeles Dodgers 12 @ Pittsburgh Pirates 3.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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