Los Angeles Dodgers beat Philadelphia Phillies 2-1, a 1-run margin. We projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7-4.2 Philadelphia Phillies and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 65% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 134-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 65% / Philadelphia Phillies 35%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7 — 4.2 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 134-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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