Los Angeles Dodgers beat New York Mets 4-2, a 2-runs margin. We projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7-4.2 New York Mets and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 67% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 147-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 67% / New York Mets 33%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.7 — 4.2 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 147-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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