Arizona Diamondbacks won 4-2 over Los Angeles Dodgers on 2026-08-09. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 52% / Arizona Diamondbacks 48%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5 — 4.4 Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at -118 at -118. Pre-game: model 57.6% vs market 51.7% implied, a +5.9pp edge.
What happened: Total: 6 (line: under 9).
Bet returned +1.27u on 1.5u risked.
Pre-game call: Arizona Diamondbacks ML at +131 at +131. Pre-game: model 47.8% vs market 42.6% implied, a +5.2pp edge.
What happened: Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ Arizona Diamondbacks 4.
Bet returned +1.31u on 1u risked.
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