HomeMLB › Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — 2026-08-03

8:05 PM ETWrigley FieldMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 10-5 over Los Angeles Dodgers on 2026-08-03. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Dodgers
54%
Chicago Cubs
46%
Projected
Dodgers 4.5 - 4.4 Cubs

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1534) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Cubs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.
Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 54% / Chicago Cubs 46%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5 — 4.4 Chicago Cubs.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 49-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1534) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Cubs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago Cubs ML at +110 at +110. Pre-game: model 53.7% vs market 46.8% implied, a +6.9pp edge.

What happened: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 @ Chicago Cubs 10.

Bet returned +1.10u on 1u risked.

Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.1% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.0pp edge.

What happened: Total: 15 (line: over 8).

Bet returned +1.30u on 1.5u risked.

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