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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers — 2026-10-11

8:00 PM ETAmerican Family FieldSP: Tarik Skubal vs Jacob MisiorowskiMLBFINAL
Recap

Milwaukee Brewers won 2-1 over Los Angeles Dodgers on 2026-10-11. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Dodgers
62%
Milwaukee Brewers
38%
Projected
Dodgers 4.6 - 4.3 Brewers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 107-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Dodgers
No recent games on file.
Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Dodgers 62% / Milwaukee Brewers 38%. Projected Los Angeles Dodgers 4.6 — 4.3 Milwaukee Brewers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 107-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Milwaukee Brewers ML at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 56.2% vs market 50.9% implied, a +5.3pp edge.

What happened: Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ Milwaukee Brewers 2.

Bet returned +0.89u on 1u risked.

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