Boston Red Sox won 9-4 over Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-08-18. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 5 runs.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 63-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 56% / Boston Red Sox 44%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.6 — 4.3 Boston Red Sox.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 63-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Boston Red Sox ML at -166 at -166. Pre-game: model 65.4% vs market 61.2% implied, a +4.2pp edge.
What happened: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 @ Boston Red Sox 9.
Bet returned +1.20u on 2u risked.
Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 56.6% vs market 50.8% implied, a +5.8pp edge.
What happened: Total: 13 (line: over 8).
Bet returned +0.89u on 1u risked.
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