Arizona Diamondbacks beat Washington Nationals 3-2, a 1-run margin. We projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.6-4.3 Washington Nationals and gave Arizona Diamondbacks a 57% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 71-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 57% / Washington Nationals 43%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.6 — 4.3 Washington Nationals.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 57%. The driver is a 71-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1473) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Nationals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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