Seattle Mariners beat Arizona Diamondbacks 7-6, a 1-run margin. We projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5-4.4 Seattle Mariners and gave Arizona Diamondbacks a 54% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 54-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 54% / Seattle Mariners 46%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5 — 4.4 Seattle Mariners.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 54-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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