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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants — 2026-08-29

10:05 PM ETOracle ParkSP: Merrill Kelly vs TBDMLBFINAL
Recap

San Francisco Giants won 7-2 over Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-08-29. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Arizona Diamondbacks
61%
San Francisco Giants
39%
Projected
Diamondbacks 4.6 - 4.3 Giants

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 99-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Arizona Diamondbacks
No recent games on file.
San Francisco Giants
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 61% / San Francisco Giants 39%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.6 — 4.3 San Francisco Giants.

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 99-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Arizona Diamondbacks ML at +104 at +104. Pre-game: model 51.2% vs market 48.1% implied, a +3.1pp edge.

What happened: Arizona Diamondbacks 7 @ San Francisco Giants 1.

Bet returned +1.04u on 1u risked.

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