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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-07-11

9:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Brandon Pfaadt vs Yoshinobu YamamotoMLB

Model prediction

Arizona Diamondbacks
41%
Los Angeles Dodgers
59%
Projected
Diamondbacks 4.4 - 4.5 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Arizona Diamondbacks
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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