HomeMLB › Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers — 2026-07-11

9:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger StadiumSP: Brandon Pfaadt vs Yoshinobu YamamotoMLBFINAL
Recap

Arizona Diamondbacks beat Los Angeles Dodgers 9-3, a 6-runs margin. We projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.4-4.5 Los Angeles Dodgers and gave Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Arizona Diamondbacks
41%
Los Angeles Dodgers
59%
Projected
Diamondbacks 4.4 - 4.5 Dodgers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Arizona Diamondbacks
No recent games on file.
Los Angeles Dodgers
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 41% / Los Angeles Dodgers 59%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.4 — 4.5 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Dodgers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1583 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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