Arizona Diamondbacks won 2-0 over Atlanta Braves on 2026-08-14. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Arizona Diamondbacks 45% / Atlanta Braves 55%. Projected Arizona Diamondbacks 4.4 — 4.5 Atlanta Braves.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1544) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Diamondbacks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 7.5 at -112 at -112. Pre-game: model 56.8% vs market 50.3% implied, a +6.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 2 (line: over 7.5).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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