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Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals — 2026-08-09

2:10 PM ETKauffman StadiumSP: Matthew Boyd vs Randy DobnakMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 10-2 over Kansas City Royals on 2026-08-09. Margin of 8 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
58%
Kansas City Royals
42%
Projected
Cubs 4.6 - 4.3 Royals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 80-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
Kansas City Royals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 58% / Kansas City Royals 42%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.6 — 4.3 Kansas City Royals.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 80-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1455) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Royals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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