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Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox — 2026-09-27

3:05 PM ETTropicana FieldMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 6-2 over Boston Red Sox on 2026-09-27. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
54%
Boston Red Sox
46%
Projected
Cubs 4.5 - 4.4 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 54% / Boston Red Sox 46%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.5 — 4.4 Boston Red Sox.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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