Home › MLB › Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox

Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox — 2026-09-25

6:05 PM ETFenway ParkSP: Clay Holmes vs Alec GamboaMLBFINAL
Recap

Boston Red Sox won 2-0 over Chicago Cubs on 2026-09-25. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 2 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
54%
Boston Red Sox
46%
Projected
Cubs 4.5 - 4.4 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 54% / Boston Red Sox 46%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.5 — 4.4 Boston Red Sox.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago Cubs ML at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 58.3% vs market 51.1% implied, a +7.2pp edge.

What happened: Chicago Cubs 3 @ Boston Red Sox 4.

Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.