Chicago Cubs beat New York Mets 9-6, a 3-runs margin. We projected Chicago Cubs 4.6-4.3 New York Mets and gave Chicago Cubs a 60% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 98-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 60% / New York Mets 40%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.6 — 4.3 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 98-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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