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Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners — 2026-08-23

4:10 PM ETT-Mobile ParkSP: Shota Imanaga vs Bryce MillerMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 19-2 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-08-23. Margin of 17 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
53%
Seattle Mariners
47%
Projected
Cubs 4.5 - 4.4 Mariners

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 43-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 53% / Seattle Mariners 47%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.5 — 4.4 Seattle Mariners.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 43-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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