Arizona Diamondbacks won 5-4 over Chicago Cubs on 2026-08-25. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1534) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Cubs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 45% / Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.4 — 4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 10-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1534) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago Cubs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 8.5 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 57.4% vs market 51.6% implied, a +5.8pp edge.
What happened: Total: 9 (line: under 8.5).
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
Pre-game call: Arizona Diamondbacks ML at -108 at -108. Pre-game: model 53.4% vs market 50.0% implied, a +3.4pp edge.
What happened: Chicago Cubs 4 @ Arizona Diamondbacks 5.
Bet returned +0.93u on 1u risked.
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