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Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals — 2026-07-27

7:45 PM ETBusch StadiumSP: David Peterson vs TBDMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago Cubs won 7-3 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-07-27. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
53%
St. Louis Cardinals
47%
Projected
Cubs 4.5 - 4.4 Cardinals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 53% / St. Louis Cardinals 47%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.5 — 4.4 St. Louis Cardinals.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 9.5 at -114 at -114. Pre-game: model 57.9% vs market 51.0% implied, a +6.9pp edge.

What happened: Total: 10 (line: over 9.5).

Bet returned +1.32u on 1.5u risked.

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