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Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers — 2026-09-07

2:10 PM ETAmerican Family FieldSP: Matthew Boyd vs Robert GasserMLBFINAL
Recap

Milwaukee Brewers won 4-3 over Chicago Cubs on 2026-09-07. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Chicago Cubs
55%
Milwaukee Brewers
45%
Projected
Cubs 4.6 - 4.3 Brewers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Chicago Cubs
No recent games on file.
Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 55% / Milwaukee Brewers 45%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.6 — 4.3 Milwaukee Brewers.

Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at +100 at +100. Pre-game: model 54.3% vs market 48.7% implied, a +5.5pp edge.

What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 8.5).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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