Chicago Cubs beat Milwaukee Brewers 8-2, a 6-runs margin. We projected Chicago Cubs 4.6-4.3 Milwaukee Brewers and gave Chicago Cubs a 55% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Chicago Cubs 55% / Milwaukee Brewers 45%. Projected Chicago Cubs 4.6 — 4.3 Milwaukee Brewers.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 58-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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