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St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-06-12

8:10 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Kyle Leahy vs Joe RyanMLBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Twins won 9-8 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-06-12. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

St. Louis Cardinals
40%
Minnesota Twins
60%
Projected
Cardinals 4.4 - 4.5 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 44-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 40% / Minnesota Twins 60%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 — 4.5 Minnesota Twins.

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 44-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Minnesota Twins ML at -135 at -135. Pre-game: model 61.8% vs market 55.4% implied, a +6.4pp edge.

What happened: St. Louis Cardinals 8 @ Minnesota Twins 9.

Bet returned +1.11u on 1.5u risked.

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