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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds — 2026-08-18

6:40 PM ETGreat American Ball ParkSP: Kyle Leahy vs Andrew AbbottMLBFINAL
Recap

St. Louis Cardinals won 3-0 over Cincinnati Reds on 2026-08-18. Margin of 3 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

St. Louis Cardinals
42%
Cincinnati Reds
58%
Projected
Cardinals 4.4 - 4.5 Reds

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 30-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Cincinnati Reds
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 42% / Cincinnati Reds 58%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 — 4.5 Cincinnati Reds.

Our MLB model rates Cincinnati Reds as the more likely winner at 58%. The driver is a 30-point Elo gap (1519 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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