St. Louis Cardinals won 5-1 over Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-09-23. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 61-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 38% / Pittsburgh Pirates 62%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.3 — 4.6 Pittsburgh Pirates.
Our MLB model rates Pittsburgh Pirates as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 61-point Elo gap (1550 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Pittsburgh Pirates ML at -137 at -137. Pre-game: model 62.1% vs market 55.3% implied, a +6.8pp edge.
What happened: St. Louis Cardinals 5 @ Pittsburgh Pirates 1.
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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