Philadelphia Phillies won 12-3 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-22. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 9 runs.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 52% / Philadelphia Phillies 48%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5 — 4.4 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: St. Louis Cardinals ML at +137 at +137. Pre-game: model 46.1% vs market 41.7% implied, a +4.4pp edge.
What happened: St. Louis Cardinals 3 @ Philadelphia Phillies 12.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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