HomeMLB › St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies — 2026-08-21

6:40 PM ETCitizens Bank ParkMLB

Model prediction

St. Louis Cardinals
52%
Philadelphia Phillies
48%
Projected
Cardinals 4.5 - 4.4 Phillies

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

St. Louis Cardinals
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Philadelphia Phillies
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