Philadelphia Phillies won 7-6 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-21. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 52% / Philadelphia Phillies 48%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5 — 4.4 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 39-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1450) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Philadelphia Phillies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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