St. Louis Cardinals beat New York Mets 7-0, a 7-runs margin. We projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5-4.4 New York Mets and gave St. Louis Cardinals a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 54% / New York Mets 46%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 52-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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