St. Louis Cardinals won 5-4 over Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-07-17. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 39% / Arizona Diamondbacks 61%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 — 4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks.
Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 55-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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