Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -115 at -115. Pre-game: model 58.0% vs market 51.1% implied, a +6.9pp edge.
What happened: Total: 3 (line: over 8).
Bet returned -1.50u on 1.5u risked.
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