St. Louis Cardinals beat Chicago Cubs 17-1, a 16-runs margin. We projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4-4.5 Chicago Cubs and gave Chicago Cubs a 60% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 40% / Chicago Cubs 60%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 — 4.5 Chicago Cubs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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