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St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers — 2026-09-26

7:10 PM ETAmerican Family FieldSP: Quinn Mathews vs Dustin MayMLBFINAL
Recap

Milwaukee Brewers won 3-2 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-09-26. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

St. Louis Cardinals
48%
Milwaukee Brewers
52%
Projected
Cardinals 4.5 - 4.4 Brewers

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 48% / Milwaukee Brewers 52%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5 — 4.4 Milwaukee Brewers.

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -13-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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