St. Louis Cardinals beat Atlanta Braves 5-3, a 2-runs margin. We projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.3-4.6 Atlanta Braves and gave Atlanta Braves a 63% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 67-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 37% / Atlanta Braves 63%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.3 — 4.6 Atlanta Braves.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 67-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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