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St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays — 2026-08-01

3:07 PM ETRogers CentreSP: Quinn Mathews vs Kevin GausmanMLBFINAL
Recap

Toronto Blue Jays won 5-1 over St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-01. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

St. Louis Cardinals
52%
Toronto Blue Jays
48%
Projected
Cardinals 4.5 - 4.4 Jays

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Toronto Blue Jays
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 52% / Toronto Blue Jays 48%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.5 — 4.4 Toronto Blue Jays.

Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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