Los Angeles Angels beat St. Louis Cardinals 3-2, a 1-run margin. We projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4-4.5 Los Angeles Angels and gave Los Angeles Angels a 54% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: St. Louis Cardinals 46% / Los Angeles Angels 54%. Projected St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 — 4.5 Los Angeles Angels.
Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 9.0 at +100 at +100. Pre-game: model 55.0% vs market 47.8% implied, a +7.2pp edge.
What happened: Total: 6 (line: under 9).
Bet returned +1.00u on 1u risked.
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