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Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres — 2026-10-06

9:30 PM ETPetco ParkSP: Dustin May vs Nick PivettaMLBFINAL
Recap

San Diego Padres won 4-3 over Milwaukee Brewers on 2026-10-06. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Milwaukee Brewers
33%
San Diego Padres
67%
Projected
Brewers 4.3 - 4.6 Padres

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.
San Diego Padres
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Milwaukee Brewers 33% / San Diego Padres 67%. Projected Milwaukee Brewers 4.3 — 4.6 San Diego Padres.

Our MLB model rates San Diego Padres as the more likely winner at 67%. The driver is a 100-point Elo gap (1576 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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