HomeMLB › Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants — 2026-07-28

9:45 PM ETOracle ParkSP: Logan Henderson vs Landen RouppMLBFINAL
Recap

San Francisco Giants beat Milwaukee Brewers 3-0, a 3-runs margin. We projected Milwaukee Brewers 4.5-4.4 San Francisco Giants and gave Milwaukee Brewers a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Milwaukee Brewers
51%
San Francisco Giants
49%
Projected
Brewers 4.5 - 4.4 Giants

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.
San Francisco Giants
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Milwaukee Brewers 51% / San Francisco Giants 49%. Projected Milwaukee Brewers 4.5 — 4.4 San Francisco Giants.

Our MLB model rates Milwaukee Brewers as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1476 vs 1446) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Francisco Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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