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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — 2026-07-06

7:45 PM ETBusch StadiumSP: Shane Drohan vs Dustin MayMLB

Model prediction

Milwaukee Brewers
45%
St. Louis Cardinals
55%
Projected
Brewers 4.4 - 4.5 Cardinals

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates St. Louis Cardinals as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 13-point Elo gap (1489 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.
St. Louis Cardinals
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 8.0 at -114 at -114. Pre-game: model 56.2% vs market 50.9% implied, a +5.3pp edge.

What happened: Total: 7 (line: over 8).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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