HomeMLB › Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves — 2026-06-21

1:35 PM ETTruist ParkSP: Robert Gasser vs Bryce ElderMLBFINAL
Recap

Milwaukee Brewers beat Atlanta Braves 9-4, a 5-runs margin. We projected Milwaukee Brewers 4.3-4.6 Atlanta Braves and gave Atlanta Braves a 64% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Milwaukee Brewers
36%
Atlanta Braves
64%
Projected
Brewers 4.3 - 4.6 Braves

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 80-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Milwaukee Brewers
No recent games on file.
Atlanta Braves
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Milwaukee Brewers 36% / Atlanta Braves 64%. Projected Milwaukee Brewers 4.3 — 4.6 Atlanta Braves.

Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 80-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1476) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Brewers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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