Chicago White Sox beat Atlanta Braves 2-1, a 1-run margin. We projected Atlanta Braves 4.6-4.3 Chicago White Sox and gave Atlanta Braves a 62% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it. Our published pick missed.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 112-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Atlanta Braves 62% / Chicago White Sox 38%. Projected Atlanta Braves 4.6 — 4.3 Chicago White Sox.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 62%. The driver is a 112-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 7.5 at -103 at -103. Pre-game: model 55.4% vs market 49.2% implied, a +6.2pp edge.
What happened: Total: 3 (line: over 7.5).
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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