New York Mets beat Atlanta Braves 7-5, a 2-runs margin. We projected Atlanta Braves 4.7-4.2 New York Mets and gave Atlanta Braves a 63% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 119-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Atlanta Braves 63% / New York Mets 37%. Projected Atlanta Braves 4.7 — 4.2 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 119-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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