Atlanta Braves beat St. Louis Cardinals 4-3, a 1-run margin. We projected Atlanta Braves 4.6-4.3 St. Louis Cardinals and gave Atlanta Braves a 56% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 67-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Atlanta Braves 56% / St. Louis Cardinals 44%. Projected Atlanta Braves 4.6 — 4.3 St. Louis Cardinals.
Our MLB model rates Atlanta Braves as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 67-point Elo gap (1556 vs 1489) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. St. Louis Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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